Heuristic: an event is a pattern—in other words, when you catch Bill Clinton with a mistress (or Trump with Stormy Daniels) then once is enough; there are bound to be more examples—it’s been done in the past, it will be done again. Progressives militate against this view, men like Alan Watts will say that to steal one time doesn’t make you a thief—actually, it does; if you catch a person on the way home from work with a box of pencils from the stationary supply cupboard, the chances are they’ve done it before and will do it again (and may move on to bigger fry).
The absurdity in the progressive statement “a single theft doesn’t make you a thief” is obvious if you turn it into “a single murder doesn’t make you a murderer”—somehow, given the crime’s gravity, everything falls into place then. At most, we can say you’re not a habitual thief (or a habitual murderer)—except, chances are, the event is just a peak in a longer sound wave; so, yeah, that’s the rhythm of your life—and we can see it now, we could always see it.
I said before that “it is always exactly what it looks like”—well, this is another example. Your mind rushes in to deny reality—perhaps because it’s too harsh to think people you like (charmers like Bill and Don) are no-good philandering hounds, and then the mind makes sophisticated excuses (that can become very slick if you’re very smart—up to and including fancy statistics). Indeed, science is the problem here—you’ve been taught to gather data to analyse before you decide whether or not there’s a pattern; so you can’t reach a judgement. Yet an event is a pattern—it’s not quantifiable, in a way. Well, as I said, you can sum people up in three seconds—even the event where you meet them is a pattern; and they’re likely to go on like that until they die.